Tuesday, October 29, 2024

Why Does Bidenomics Work?

 Financial FAQs

Elon Musk told a cheering crowd at Sunday’s MAGA rally in New York that if Donald Trump puts him in charge of government efficiency, as planned, he can cut “at least $2 trillion” from the current federal budget.

This would cause an almost immediate recession. Such is the blindness of the world’s richest Oligarch, who has made no bones about his dislike of government regulations and taxes in the way of his dream of reaching Mars.

MarketWatch’s Brent Arends tells us what would happen. “Either Donald Trump and Elon Musk are planning to cut 85% of all spending on highways, disaster relief, federal bank-deposit insurance and the departments of Agriculture, Homeland Security and Justice; close all U.S. embassies; and abolish the Environmental Protection Agency, the Small Business Administration, NASA and nearly all welfare, income-support, food-stamp and childhood-nutrition programs.”

“Or, they are planning on cutting Social Security and Medicare — despite Donald Trump’s protests to the contrary,” said Arends

That is what is behind Republicans’ dislike of Democrats economic policies since President Biden’s election that has created more than 15 million jobs and 3 percent economic growth as we recovered from the COVID-19 pandemic.

It takes government investments to spur private investments; not just in new technologies (the CHIPS Act) but healthcare and the environment (Inflation Reduction Act), and in modernizing our infrastructure (Infrastructure Act) so that Americans will feel more secure from hurricanes and illness and therefore produce more.

That is the real definition of efficiency, not cutting benefits so that Billionaires can keep more of their wealth.

President Obama was the first to turn the tide on President Reagan’s 40- years of trickle-down economic policies after the Great Recession (2008-09) that had transferred $50 trillion in wealth from working Americans to the owners of capital living off their corporate profits, according to a RAND Corporation working paper.

He did it by creating Obamacare (the Affordable Care Act) and making government the protector of people, not of profits, as President Reagan had done. This resulted in economic growth accelerating to 4 percent during the Obama years continuing into Trump’s years, even with a Republican-engineered shutdown. It was the longest economic recovery since World War Two, and the reason Trump could brag that growth has been so good just prior to COVID-19.

The economy unfortunately shrank -7.5 percent in 2020 as businesses shut down due to the pandemic. It roared back to life in the second quarter of 2021 as congress acted quickly to put money back into Americans’ pockets.

In fact, the U.S. economy will continue to provide most of the thrust for global growth through the balance of this year and in 2025, led by robust consumer spending “that has held up through a wrenching bout of inflation and the high interest rates used to tame it,” the International Monetary Fund said on Tuesday.

Such economic policies requiring government investments have worked before. It was Roosevelt’s New Deal that employed more than 8 million people, built 650,00 miles of roads, 120,000 bridges, created the minimum age, 8-hour workdays and started up social security.

Now more than half of the living US recipients of the Nobel Prize for economics signed a letter that called Vice President Kamala Harris’ economic agenda “vastly superior” to the plans laid out by former President Donald Trump.

“While each of us has different views on the particulars of various economic policies, we believe that, overall, Harris’ economic agenda will improve our nation’s health, investment, sustainability, resilience, employment opportunities, and fairness and be vastly superior to the counterproductive economic agenda of Donald Trump,” the economists write in the letter obtained by CNN.

Top this off consumers are now joining the Harris economic bandwagon. The Conference Board’s latest consumer confidence survey surged to 108.7 in October from a revised 99.2 reading in the prior month,the Conference Board said Tuesday.  This is highest level of confidence since January.

“Consumer confidence recorded the strongest monthly gain since March 2021, but still did not break free of the narrow range that has prevailed over the past two years,” said Dana M. Peterson, Chief Economist at The Conference Board. “In October’s reading, all five components of the Index improved. Consumers’ assessments of current business conditions turned positive. Views on the current availability of jobs rebounded after several months of weakness, potentially reflecting better labor market data.” 

Is Bidenomics finally catching on with ordinary Americans, not just economists?

Harlan Green © 2024

Follow Harlan Green on Twitter: https://twitter.com/HarlanGreen

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