Monday, June 2, 2025

Trump's Big Beautiful Bill?

 Answering Kennedy’s Call

“The House has now passed what must surely be the worst piece of legislation in modern U.S. history. Millions of Americans are about to see crucial government support snatched away. A significant number will die prematurely due to lack of adequate medical care or nutrition. Yet all this suffering won’t come close to offsetting the giant hole in the budget created by huge tax cuts for the rich. Long-term interest rates have already soared as America loses the last vestiges of its former reputation for fiscal responsibility.” Paul Krugman-Substack

 Graph: Last Tech Age

Budget analysts have been saying (almost unanimously) that it will increase our federal debt by as much as $4trillion and raise the federal debt level to as much as 130 percent of GDP, further endangering the “full faith and credit” of the U.S. Government.

In passing their ‘Big Beautiful Bill’ (BBB) by just one vote, Republicans will worsen the income inequality and partisan divide that has picked ordinary Americans’ pocketbooks since the 1980s and President Reagan’s ‘trickle down’ economic policies.

The BBB will essentially renew the Trump administrations first term Tax Cut and Jobs Act (TCJB), that gave even more tax breaks to the wealthiest—to Trump and his oligarchs.

The U.S. Is already in 106th place of the 149 countries in income inequality as ranked by the CIA’s World Factbook, I said in 2017; with a Gini inequality index that ranks it with developing countries like Peru and Cameroon. Whereas Finland and the Scandinavian countries are at the top of equality rankings; Germany and France are ranked 12th and 20th, respectively. The higher the index, the greater the gap between wealthy and poor citizens of a country.

So how much worse can it get before MAGA followers realize Trump has never meant to fulfill the “Day 1” promises of lower inflation, more good paying jobs, and a Ukraine peace deal?

The nonpartisan Center on Budget and Policy Priorities gave the most digestible breakdown of the TCJA effects, if it passes the Senate as well:

· Giving the biggest benefits to the wealthy. Households with incomes in the top 5 percent, who have incomes over around $320,000, would receive roughly half of the benefits of extending the expiring tax cuts.

· Ballooning the deficit. Along with the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts enacted under President Bush, the 2017 law has severely eroded our nation’s revenue base. The House budget would compound the damage, adding hundreds of billions of dollars to deficits each year. Extending the 2017 tax cuts would cost $3.6 trillion through 2034.

· Failing to significantly boost economic growth, workers’ earnings, or other benefits for workers. The trickle-down benefits that proponents claimed the 2017 law would produce never materialized, and the law hasn’t come close to paying for itself. Yet the House budget claims that extending the tax cuts would generate trillions in revenue — far more than any independent estimate.

Our ranking of the worst income inequality among developed countries is bound to influence U.S. voters once the Trump’s higher import taxes take hold as well, and stagflation returns.

Even worse is the effect the BBB will have to our credit rating. Will it continue to decline? That is really what Paul Krugman is most worried about. It’s the worst kind of fiscal responsibility. Why such a blatant and foolish attempt to make the rich richer and working Americans poorer? Republicans aren’t even attempting to hide it anymore.

Harlan Green © 2025

Follow Harlan Green on Twitter: https://twitter.com/HarlanGreen

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